Forecast who leaves and draft openings for their seats

Purpose

Staff see which seats fall vacant in the months ahead, who cannot be reappointed and who already has a successor, and draft openings from that list.

How It Works

Staff read a forecast of the seats falling vacant across all committees over the coming months, twelve by default and up to five years. It lists each serving seat-holder whose appointment ends in that window, says whether they have reached their term limit and so cannot be reappointed without an override, whether a successor is already planned, and whether an opening already exists for the seat. Staff liaisons, pending offers and open-ended appointments are left out. From the forecast, staff choose holders and draft openings for their seats in one step; a seat that already has an opening is skipped and named, so no seat gets two. Reading the forecast tells nobody, in line with Product’s ruling that term endings send no e-mail. On a committee without seats, two people leaving the same position today get two openings, which the product should merge.

Relationships

Relates to CAP-CMT-MTG-016 because the forecast drafts ordinary openings.

Show evidence (sources, provenance, origins, pinned commits)

The Formal Contract

The narrative above explains; the sections below are authoritative — the rules, scenarios and tests this document binds.

Outcomes: Vacancies known before they happenTerm limits visible before reappointmentOpenings drafted once per seat
Surfaces: api
Intent sources: services-committees:docs/milestones/CMTE-M1-committees-seats-and-rosters.md#D8

Controls

23 controls apply, from the corpus control catalogue.

TC-AZ-001 TC-AZ-002 TC-AZ-003 TC-AZ-004 TC-AZ-006 TC-TEN-001 TC-TEN-002 TC-TEN-003 TC-TEN-004 TC-SEC-001 TC-SEC-004 TC-DAT-001 TC-DAT-002 TC-DAT-003 TC-LOG-002 TC-LOG-003 TC-LOG-004 TC-LOG-005 TC-PI-001 TC-PI-003 TC-PI-005 TC-PRV-001 TC-PRV-002

Permissions

Key	Checked at	Scope
`committees.openings.read`	api	tenant
`committees.openings.manage`	api	tenant

Business Rules

7 rules, 6 to be proved before approval. A rule's product intent is derived from its origin: 0 confirmed by a product decision, the rest inheriting this capability's proposed.

Id	Rule	Kind	Enforced at	Provenance
`01`must prove Proposed	The forecast lists current seat-holders whose last day, the earlier of their own end and their term’s end unless extended, falls from today through the chosen number of months, 1 to 60 with 12 by default. no proof recorded yet	calculation	api, service	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/unit/services/forecast-rule.spec.ts#is the earlier of its end and its term’s
`02`must prove Proposed	A holder is marked term-limited when their consecutive run, the current appointment included, already reaches the limit. no proof recorded yet	calculation	service	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/unit/services/forecast-rule.spec.ts#forecasts Lee: ending 2026-12-31, term-limited after two consecutive terms, Sam to succeed him
`03`must prove Proposed	A successor is planned when an appointment to the same seat, or to the same committee and position without a seat, starts within 31 days after the holder’s last day and is neither pending nor declined. no proof recorded yet	calculation	service	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/unit/services/forecast-rule.spec.ts#is one starting 31 days after the last day
`04`must prove Proposed	Staff liaisons, pending appointments and open-ended appointments are never forecast. no proof recorded yet	calculation	service	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/integration/services/openings.integration.spec.ts#forecasts neither the staff liaison, nor Riley’s pending appointment, nor the already vacant Eastern Region seat
`05`must prove Proposed	Drafting from the forecast makes one draft opening per chosen holder whose seat has no draft or open opening, names those skipped, and needs at least one holder chosen. no proof recorded yet	validation	service	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/integration/services/openings.integration.spec.ts#skips a holder whose seat already has an opening, making none twice
`06`must prove Proposed	Today two holders of one position on a committee without seats get two draft openings for the same position in one request. no proof recorded yet	calculation	service	test react-console:acceptance/committees/playwright/journeys/recruitment/CMT-ACC-0397.spec.ts#CMT-ACC-0397
`07` Proposed	Reading the forecast tells nobody; no term-ending notice is sent. origin: CMTE-M1 D8 (Andrew 2026-10-19 17:57 ET, services-committees:docs/milestones/CMTE-M1-committees-seats-and-rosters.md#Decisions)	policy	service	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/integration/services/openings.integration.spec.ts#sends no term-ending notice for the fixtures’ appointments (D8): the forecast is read, nobody is told

Scenarios

Id	Given	When	Then	Provenance
`01`	A director in a second term ending 31 December with a successor appointed from 1 January	Staff read the forecast	The director is listed as term-limited with the successor planned and no opening yet	test services-committees:modules/recruitment/tests/integration/services/openings.integration.spec.ts#forecasts Lee’s second director term: ending 2026-12-31, term-limited, Sam to succeed him, no opening yet

Planning

Forecast who leaves and draft openings for their seats ​

Purpose ​

How It Works ​

Relationships ​